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Headline
Study found that implantable cardiac defibrillators reduced all-cause mortality in people at increased risk of sudden cardiac death as a result of previous ventricular arrhythmias or cardiac arrest, remote myocardial infarction or ischaemic/non-ischaemic heart failure and LVEF ≤ 35%. Cardiac resynchronisation therapy reduced all-cause mortality and improved other outcomes in people with heart failure as a result of left ventricular systolic dysfunction and cardiac dyssynchrony when compared with optimal pharmacological therapy. The devices were cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of £30,000 when compared with optimal pharmacological therapy.
Abstract
Background:
This assessment updates and expands on two previous technology assessments that evaluated implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs) for arrhythmias and cardiac resynchronisation therapy (CRT) for heart failure (HF).
Objectives:
To assess the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of ICDs in addition to optimal pharmacological therapy (OPT) for people at increased risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) as a result of ventricular arrhythmias despite receiving OPT; to assess CRT with or without a defibrillator (CRT-D or CRT-P) in addition to OPT for people with HF as a result of left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD) and cardiac dyssynchrony despite receiving OPT; and to assess CRT-D in addition to OPT for people with both conditions.
Data sources:
Electronic resources including MEDLINE, EMBASE and The Cochrane Library were searched from inception to November 2012. Additional studies were sought from reference lists, clinical experts and manufacturers’ submissions to the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence.
Review methods:
Inclusion criteria were applied by two reviewers independently. Data extraction and quality assessment were undertaken by one reviewer and checked by a second. Data were synthesised through narrative review and meta-analyses. For the three populations above, randomised controlled trials (RCTs) comparing (1) ICD with standard therapy, (2) CRT-P or CRT-D with each other or with OPT and (3) CRT-D with OPT, CRT-P or ICD were eligible. Outcomes included mortality, adverse events and quality of life. A previously developed Markov model was adapted to estimate the cost-effectiveness of OPT, ICDs, CRT-P and CRT-D in the three populations by simulating disease progression calculated at 4-weekly cycles over a lifetime horizon.
Results:
A total of 4556 references were identified, of which 26 RCTs were included in the review: 13 compared ICD with medical therapy, four compared CRT-P/CRT-D with OPT and nine compared CRT-D with ICD. ICDs reduced all-cause mortality in people at increased risk of SCD, defined in trials as those with previous ventricular arrhythmias/cardiac arrest, myocardial infarction (MI) > 3 weeks previously, non-ischaemic cardiomyopathy (depending on data included) or ischaemic/non-ischaemic HF and left ventricular ejection fraction ≤ 35%. There was no benefit in people scheduled for coronary artery bypass graft. A reduction in SCD but not all-cause mortality was found in people with recent MI. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) ranged from £14,231 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) to £29,756 per QALY for the scenarios modelled. CRT-P and CRT-D reduced mortality and HF hospitalisations, and improved other outcomes, in people with HF as a result of LVSD and cardiac dyssynchrony when compared with OPT. The rate of SCD was lower with CRT-D than with CRT-P but other outcomes were similar. CRT-P and CRT-D compared with OPT produced ICERs of £27,584 per QALY and £27,899 per QALY respectively. The ICER for CRT-D compared with CRT-P was £28,420 per QALY. In people with both conditions, CRT-D reduced the risk of all-cause mortality and HF hospitalisation, and improved other outcomes, compared with ICDs. Complications were more common with CRT-D. Initial management with OPT alone was most cost-effective (ICER £2824 per QALY compared with ICD) when health-related quality of life was kept constant over time. Costs and QALYs for CRT-D and CRT-P were similar. The ICER for CRT-D compared with ICD was £27,195 per QALY and that for CRT-D compared with OPT was £35,193 per QALY.
Limitations:
Limitations of the model include the structural assumptions made about disease progression and treatment provision, the extrapolation of trial survival estimates over time and the assumptions made around parameter values when evidence was not available for specific patient groups.
Conclusions:
In people at risk of SCD as a result of ventricular arrhythmias and in those with HF as a result of LVSD and cardiac dyssynchrony, the interventions modelled produced ICERs of < £30,000 per QALY gained. In people with both conditions, the ICER for CRT-D compared with ICD, but not CRT-D compared with OPT, was < £30,000 per QALY, and the costs and QALYs for CRT-D and CRT-P were similar. A RCT comparing CRT-D and CRT-P in people with HF as a result of LVSD and cardiac dyssynchrony is required, for both those with and those without an ICD indication. A RCT is also needed into the benefits of ICD in non-ischaemic cardiomyopathy in the absence of dyssynchrony.
Study registration:
This study is registered as PROSPERO number CRD42012002062.
Funding:
The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.
Contents
- Scientific summary
- Chapter 1. Background
- Chapter 2. Definition of the decision problem
- Chapter 3. Methods for the systematic reviews of clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness
- Chapter 4. Clinical effectiveness
- Overall quantity of evidence identified
- People at risk of sudden cardiac death as a result of ventricular arrhythmias
- People with heart failure as a result of left ventricular systolic dysfunction and cardiac dyssynchrony
- People with both conditions
- Summary of Southampton Health Technology Assessments Centre’s peer review of clinical effectiveness in the Association of British Healthcare Industries joint submission
- Chapter 5. Economic analysis
- Chapter 6. Assessment of factors relevant to the NHS and other parties
- Chapter 7. Discussion
- Chapter 8. Conclusions
- Acknowledgements
- References
- Appendix 1 Comparison of inclusion criteria in previous and present technology assessment reports
- Appendix 2 Sources of information, including databases searched and search terms
- Appendix 3 Economic evaluation checklist
- Appendix 4 List of excluded clinical effectiveness studies and recent abstracts
- Appendix 5 Ongoing trials
- Appendix 6 Hospitalisations: total, cardiac and non-cardiac
- Appendix 7 Data extraction: people at risk of sudden cardiac death as a result of ventricular arrhythmias
- Appendix 8 Data extraction: people with heart failure as a result of left ventricular systolic dysfunction and cardiac dyssynchrony
- Appendix 9 Data extraction: people with both conditions
- Appendix 10 Southampton Health Technology Assessments Centre’s peer review of the manufacturers’ submission
- Appendix 11 List of excluded economic evaluations
- Appendix 12 Data extraction: cost-effectiveness
- Appendix 13 List of excluded quality-of-life studies
- Appendix 14 Development of Southampton Health Technology Assessments Centre model
- Appendix 15 Parameters included in the probabilistic sensitivity analyses
- Appendix 16 Regression analyses for deriving model parameters
- Appendix 17 Validation of the independent economic model
- Glossary
- List of abbreviations
Article history
The research reported in this issue of the journal was commissioned and funded by the HTA programme on behalf of NICE as project number 10/109/01. The protocol was agreed in February 2011. The assessment report began editorial review in February 2013 and was accepted for publication in July 2013. The authors have been wholly responsible for all data collection, analysis and interpretation, and for writing up their work. The HTA editors and publisher have tried to ensure the accuracy of the authors’ report and would like to thank the reviewers for their constructive comments on the draft document. However, they do not accept liability for damages or losses arising from material published in this report.
Declared competing interests of authors
none
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