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National Guideline Centre (UK). Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: Assessment and Management. London: National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE); 2016 Jul. (NICE Guideline, No. 49.)

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Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: Assessment and Management.

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Appendix KForest plots and diagnostic meta-analysis plots

K.2. Diagnosis of NAFLD

K.3. Diagnosing the severity of NAFLD

K.3.3. Diagnosing advanced fibrosis

K.3.3.1. Coupled sensitivity and specificity forest plots and pooled diagnostic meta-analysis plots

Figure 88. APRI for diagnosing advanced fibrosis at increasing thresholds from 0.5 to 1

Figure 89. Diagnostic meta-analysis of APRI at a threshold of 0.98–1 for diagnosing advanced fibrosis

Figure 90. AST/ALT ratio for diagnosing advanced fibrosis at increasing thresholds from 0.67 to 1.6

Figure 91. Diagnostic meta-analysis of AST/ALT ratio at a threshold of 0.8 for diagnosing advanced fibrosis

Figure 92. Diagnostic meta-analysis of AST/ALT ratio at a threshold of 1 for diagnosing advanced fibrosis

Figure 93. BARD for diagnosing advanced fibrosis

Figure 94. Diagnostic meta-analysis of BARD at a threshold of 2 for diagnosing advanced fibrosis

Figure 95. ELF for diagnosing advanced fibrosis at increasing thresholds from -3.37 to 10.51

Figure 96. ELF + NAFLD fibrosis score for diagnosing advanced fibrosis at increasing thresholds from -0.2826 to 0.0033

Figure 97. Ferritin for diagnosing advanced fibrosis at increasing thresholds from 250 to 500

Figure 98. FIB-4 for diagnosing advanced fibrosis at increasing thresholds from 1.3 to 3.25

Figure 99. Diagnostic meta-analysis of FIB-4 at a threshold of 1.3 for diagnosing advanced fibrosis

Figure 100. Diagnostic meta-analysis of FIB-4 at a threshold of 2.67 for diagnosing advanced fibrosis

Figure 101. Diagnostic meta-analysis of FIB-4 at a threshold of 3.25 for diagnosing advanced fibrosis

Figure 102. FibroTest for diagnosing advanced fibrosis at increasing thresholds from 0.3 to 0.7

Figure 103. NAFLD fibrosis score for diagnosing fibrosis at increasing thresholds from -2.16 to 0.735

Figure 104. Diagnostic meta-analysis of NAFLD fibrosis score at a threshold of −1.455 for diagnosing advanced fibrosis

Figure 105. Diagnostic meta-analysis of NAFLD fibrosis score at a threshold of 0.676 for diagnosing advanced fibrosis

Figure 106. ARFI for diagnosing advanced fibrosis at increasing thresholds from 1.77 to 4.24

Figure 107. MR elastography for diagnosing advanced fibrosis at increasing thresholds from 3.64 to 4.15

Figure 108. Transient elastography [M probe] for diagnosing advanced fibrosis at increasing thresholds from 7.8 to 12

Figure 109. Diagnostic meta-analysis of transient elastography with the M probe at a threshold range of 7.8–7.9 kPa for diagnosing advanced fibrosis

Figure 110. Diagnostic meta-analysis of transient elastography with the M probe at a threshold range of 8.7-9 kPa for diagnosing advanced fibrosis

Figure 111. Diagnostic meta-analysis of transient elastography with the M probe at a threshold range of 9.6-9.9 kPa for diagnosing advanced fibrosis

Figure 112. Transient elastography [XL probe] for diagnosing advanced fibrosis at increasing thresholds from 5.7 to 9.3

K.4. Monitoring NAFLD progression

NB. The GDG requested that the forest plots be titled with ‘favouring’ indicating a higher chance of fibrosis progression, rather than indicating less likely to have a negative outcome as is the normal NGC practice.

K.4.1. Fibrosis progression rate: NAFLD patients (no fibrosis at baseline)

Figure 126. Fibrosis progression rate for NAFLD patients (no fibrosis at baseline)

K.4.2. Fibrosis progression rate: NAFL patients (no fibrosis at baseline)

Figure 127. Fibrosis progression rate for NAFL patients (no fibrosis at baseline)

K.4.3. Fibrosis progression rate: NASH (no fibrosis at baseline)

Figure 128. Fibrosis progression rate for NASH patients (no fibrosis at baseline)

K.4.4. Fibrosis progression rate: NAFLD (any fibrosis baseline status)

Figure 129. Fibrosis progression rate for NAFLD patients (any fibrosis at baseline)

K.5. Extra-hepatic conditions

K.6. Dietary modification and supplements

K.6.2. Omega-3 fatty acids verses placebo or usual care: RCTs

Figure 174. NAFLD progression; liver fat (%) determined by MRS, (adults), ≥12 months

Figure 175. NAFLD progression; NAFLD fibrosis score, (adults), ≥12 months

Figure 176. NAFLD progression; composite of NAS ≤3/fibrosis unchanged and/or NAS decrease ≥2/fibrosis unchanged (adults), combined omega 3 doses (1800 mg/day and 2700 mg/day), ≥12 months

Figure 177. NAFLD progression; NAS ≤3/fibrosis unchanged, combined doses (adults), combined omega 3 doses (1800 mg/day and 2700 mg/day), ≥12 months

Figure 178. NAFLD progression; NAS decrease ≥2/ fibrosis unchanged, combined doses (adults), combined omega 3 doses (1800 mg/day and 2700 mg/day), ≥12 months

Figure 179. NAFLD progression; NAS, (adults), ≥12 months

Figure 180. NAFLD progression; % reduction in MRI hepatic fat fraction, (children and young people) ≥3 months to <12 months

Figure 181. ALT (U/l), (adults)

Figure 182. AST (U/l) (adults)

Figure 183. ALT (U/l) (children and young people), ≥3 months to <12 months

Figure 184. ALT (U/l) (children and young people), ≥12 months

Figure 185. Weight (kg) (adults), ≥12 months

Figure 186. Weight loss ≥5% (children and young people), 6 months

Figure 187. Final BMI levels (children and young people), 6 months

Figure 188. BMI reduction ≥5% (children and young people), 6 months

Figure 189. BMI (kg/m2) (children and young people) ≥12 months

Figure 190. Any adverse event (adults), combined omega 3 doses (1800 mg/day and 2700 mg/day), ≥12 months

Figure 191. Any adverse event (children and young people) Mild abdominal discomfort 6 months

Figure 192. Serious adverse event (adults), combined omega 3 doses (1800 mg/day and 2700 mg/day), ≥12 months

Figure 193. Severe adverse event (adults), combined omega 3 doses (1800 mg/day and 2700 mg/day), ≥12 months

K.8. Lifestyle modification

K.8.2. Lifestyle modification (any diet plus exercise plus behavioural modification) versus control (usual care) (cohort study) >12 months

Figure 209. ALT (U/l, final values)

Figure 210. AST (U/l, final values)

Figure 211. NAFLD (prevalence (ultrasound)

K.8.7. Diet and exercise versus diet (RCTs) <12 months

Figure 227. ALT (U/l, final values)

Figure 228. AST (U/l, final values)

K.11. Pharmacological interventions

K.11.1. Pioglitazone versus placebo for adults with NAFLD

K.11.1.2. Serious adverse events (CRITICAL)

Figure 257. Severe adverse events [>12 months]

K.11.1.4. Adverse events (IMPORTANT)

Figure 261. Adverse cardiovascular events [>12 months]

K.11.10. Pioglitazone versus Metformin for adults with NAFLD

K.11.12. Metformin versus Vitamin E for adults with NAFLD

K.11.12.1. Liver function tests (IMPORTANT)

Figure 352. Normalised ALT levels [>12 months]

K.11.15. UDCA + Vitamin E versus UDCA alone for adults with NAFLD

K.11.15.1. Progression of NAFLD (CRITICAL)

Figure 375. Final steatosis value [>12 months]

K.11.16. UDCA + Vitamin E versus Placebo alone for adults with NAFLD

K.11.16.1. Progression of NAFLD (CRITICAL)

Figure 376. Final steatosis value [>12 months]

K.11.17. Orlistat + Vitamin E versus Vitamin E alone for adults with NAFLD

K.11.18. Pioglitazone + Vitamin E versus Vitamin E alone for adults with NAFLD

Copyright © National Institute for Health and Care Excellence 2016.
Bookshelf ID: NBK384711

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