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Headline
Adalimumab, etanercept and ustekinumab all offer some benefits for plaque psoriasis in children and young people but their cost per QALY is highly uncertain.
Abstract
Background:
Psoriasis is a chronic inflammatory disease that predominantly affects the skin. Adalimumab (HUMIRA®, AbbVie, Maidenhead, UK), etanercept (Enbrel®, Pfizer, New York, NY, USA) and ustekinumab (STELARA®, Janssen Biotech, Inc., Titusville, NJ, USA) are the three biological treatments currently licensed for psoriasis in children.
Objective:
To determine the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of adalimumab, etanercept and ustekinumab within their respective licensed indications for the treatment of plaque psoriasis in children and young people.
Data sources:
Searches of the literature and regulatory sources, contact with European psoriasis registries, company submissions and clinical study reports from manufacturers, and previous National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) technology appraisal documentation.
Review methods:
Included studies were summarised and subjected to detailed critical appraisal. A network meta-analysis incorporating adult data was developed to connect the effectiveness data in children and young people and populate a de novo decision-analytic model. The model estimated the cost-effectiveness of adalimumab, etanercept and ustekinumab compared with each other and with either methotrexate or best supportive care (BSC), depending on the position of the intervention in the management pathway.
Results:
Of the 2386 non-duplicate records identified, nine studies (one randomised controlled trial for each drug plus six observational studies) were included in the review of clinical effectiveness and safety. Etanercept and ustekinumab resulted in significantly greater improvements in psoriasis symptoms than placebo at 12 weeks’ follow-up. The magnitude and persistence of the effects beyond 12 weeks is less certain. Adalimumab resulted in significantly greater improvements in psoriasis symptoms than methotrexate for some but not all measures at 16 weeks. Quality-of-life benefits were inconsistent across different measures. There was limited evidence of excess short-term adverse events; however, the possibility of rare events cannot be excluded. The majority of the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for the use of biologics in children and young people exceeded NICE’s usual threshold for cost-effectiveness and were reduced significantly only when combined assumptions that align with those made in the management of psoriasis in adults were adopted.
Limitations:
The clinical evidence base for short- and long-term outcomes was limited in terms of total participant numbers, length of follow-up and the absence of young children.
Conclusions:
The paucity of clinical and economic evidence to inform the cost-effectiveness of biological treatments in children and young people imposed a number of strong assumptions and uncertainties. Health-related quality-of-life (HRQoL) gains associated with treatment and the number of hospitalisations in children and young people are areas of considerable uncertainty. The findings suggest that biological treatments may not be cost-effective for the management of psoriasis in children and young people at a willingness-to-pay threshold of £30,000 per quality-adjusted life-year, unless a number of strong assumptions about HRQoL and the costs of BSC are combined. Registry data on biological treatments would help determine safety, patterns of treatment switching, impact on comorbidities and long-term withdrawal rates. Further research is also needed into the resource use and costs associated with BSC. Adequately powered randomised controlled trials (including comparisons against placebo) could substantially reduce the uncertainty surrounding the effectiveness of biological treatments in biologic-experienced populations of children and young people, particularly in younger children. Such trials should establish the impact of biological therapies on HRQoL in this population, ideally by collecting direct estimates of EuroQol-5 Dimensions for Youth (EQ-5D-Y) utilities.
Study registration:
This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42016039494.
Funding:
The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.
Contents
- Plain English summary
- Scientific summary
- Chapter 1. Background
- Chapter 2. Definition of the decision problem
- Chapter 3. Assessment of clinical effectiveness
- Chapter 4. Evidence synthesis to inform the relative efficacy of the interventions
- Chapter 5. Assessment of existing cost-effectiveness evidence
- Chapter 6. Independent economic assessment
- Chapter 7. Assessment of factors relevant to the NHS and other parties
- Chapter 8. Discussion
- Chapter 9. Conclusions
- Acknowledgements
- References
- Appendix 1. Search strategies
- Appendix 2. Summary of included records
- Appendix 3. List of excluded studies with reasons for exclusion
- Appendix 4. Evidence synthesis modelling, software and WinBUGS code
- Appendix 5. Studies excluded from the network meta-analyses
- Appendix 6. Evidence synthesis: fixed-effect model results
- Appendix 7. Consistency assessment
- Appendix 8. Additional cost-effectiveness results
- Appendix 9. Adalimumab risk-of-bias assessment for trial extension periods
- Appendix 10. Etanercept risk-of-bias assessment for trial extension periods
- Appendix 11. Ustekinumab risk-of-bias assessment for trial extension periods
- Appendix 12. Risk-of-bias assessment for observational multiple biological therapy studies
- Glossary
- List of abbreviations
About the Series
Article history
The research reported in this issue of the journal was commissioned and funded by the HTA programme on behalf of NICE as project number 15/69/17. The protocol was agreed in June 2016. The assessment report began editorial review in January 2017 and was accepted for publication in June 2017. The authors have been wholly responsible for all data collection, analysis and interpretation, and for writing up their work. The HTA editors and publisher have tried to ensure the accuracy of the authors’ report and would like to thank the reviewers for their constructive comments on the draft document. However, they do not accept liability for damages or losses arising from material published in this report.
Declared competing interests of authors
none
Last reviewed: January 2017; Accepted: June 2017.
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