Table 44GRADE findings for predictive value of published categorisations of fetal heart rate traces on mode of birth among high risk group

Quality assessmentDefinition of outcomeStage of labourTotal number of women & baby pairsMeasure of diagnostic accuracy (95% CI)Quality
Number of studiesDesignRisk of biasInconsistencyIndirectnessImprecisionSensitivitySpecificityPositive likelihood ratioNegative likelihood ratio
Indeterminate FHR tracing (NICHD classification 2008)

1 study

(Sharbaf 2014)

Prospective cohortVery serious1No serious inconsistencyNo serious indirectnessNo serious imprecisionCaesarean sectionIn early labour during a 20–40 minute period326 (normal n=249, indeterminate n=77)33.1%a83.4%a1.99a,b0.80a,bLow
“Abnormal” FHR pattern (Category III, NICHD classification 2008)

1 study

(Soncini 2014)

Retrospective cohortVery serious2No serious inconsistencyNo serious indirectnessNo serious imprecisionInstrumental birthAt least 1 hour and up to 5 hours before birth314 (normal n=108, category III n=31, category IIA n=118, category IIB n=57)

20.4%

(13.0 to 30.3)b

73.9%

(58.6 to 85.2)b

0.78

(0.42 to 1.47)b

1.08

(0.9 6 to 1.21)b

Very low

1 study

(Soncini 2014)

Retrospective cohortVery serious2No serious inconsistencyNo serious indirectnessSerious3Instrumental birth for suspected fetal distressAt least 1 hour and up to 5 hours before birth314 (normal n=108, category III n=31, category IIA n=118, category IIB n=57)

42.9%

(28.1 to 58.9)b

86.6%

(77.8 to 92.4)b

3.20

(1.73 to 5.91)b

0.66

(0.5 1 to 0.86)b

Very low
“Indeterminate” FHR pattern with minimal/absent baseline FHR variability and no FHR accelerations (Category IIB, NICHD classification 2008 with subcategorisation according to ACOG guidelines)

1 study

(Soncini 2014)

Retrospective cohortVery serious2No serious inconsistencyNo serious indirectnessNo serious imprecisionInstrumental birthAt least 1 hour and up to 5 hours before birth314 (normal n=108, category III n=31, category IIA n=118, category IIB n=57)

28.9%

(20.6 to 38.7)b

55.7%

(42.5 to 68.2)b

0.65

(0.43 to 0.98)b

1.28

(1.1 0 to 1.48)b

Very low

1 study

(Soncini 2014)

Retrospective cohortVery serious2No serious inconsistencyNo serious indirectnessSerious4Instrumental birth for suspected fetal distressAt least 1 hour and up to 5 hours before birth314 (normal n=108, category III n=31, category IIA n=118, category IIB n=57)

54.7%

(40.6 to 68.2)b

75.0%

(65.8 to 82.5)b

2.19

(1.46 to 3.28)b

0.60

(0.4 5 to 0.82)b

Very low
“Indeterminate” FHR pattern with moderate FHR variability or FHR accelerations (Category IIA, NICHD classification 2008 with subcategorisation according to ACOG guidelines)

1 study

(Soncini 2014)

Retrospective cohortVery serious2No serious inconsistencyNo serious indirectnessNo serious imprecisionInstrumental birthAt least 1 hour and up to 5 hours before birth314 (normal n=108, category III n=31, category IIA n=118, category IIB n=57)

49.7%

(41.4 to 58.0)b

43.0%

(32.1 to 54.6)b

0.87

(0.68 to 1.12)b

1.17

(0.96 to 1.42)b

Very low

1 study

(Soncini 2014)

Retrospective cohortVery serious2No serious inconsistencyNo serious indirectnessSerious4Instrumental birth for suspected fetal distressAt least 1 hour and up to 5 hours before birth314 (normal n=108, category III n=31, category IIA n=118, category IIB n=57)

67.6%

(55.6 to 77.7)b

55.3%

(47.0 to 63.3)b

1.51

(1.19 to 1.91)b

0.59

(0.42 to 0.82)b

Very low

ACOG American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists; CI confidence interval; FHR hetal heart rate; NICHD National Institute of Child Health and Human Development

a

95% CI not calculable from data reported in the article

b

Calculated by the 2017 NGA technical team

1

Unclear if consecutive enrolment of participants was done; no blinding for CTG tracing findings when ascertainment of outcome was done; late preterm births were included; events independent of CTG tracing findings might have influenced the outcome.

2

No random sampling; only one expert interpreted all the tracings; unclear if and why population was considered high risk; no blinding for CTG tracing findings when ascertainment of outcome was done; events independent of CTG tracing findings might have influenced the outcome

3

95% CI for the positive likelihood ratio crosses 5

4

95% CI for the negative likelihood ratio crosses 0.5

From: Appendix I, GRADE tables

Cover of Addendum to intrapartum care: care for healthy women and babies
Addendum to intrapartum care: care for healthy women and babies.
Clinical Guideline, No. 190.1.
National Guideline Alliance (UK).
Copyright © National Institute for Health and Care Excellence 2017.

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