Table 68GRADE profile for predictive accuracy of computerised cardiotocograph interpretation to identify adverse outcomes

Quality assessmentDefinition of outcomeTotal number of CTGsMeasure of diagnostic accuracy (95% CI)Quality
Number of studiesDesignRisk of biasInconsistencyIndirectnessImprecisionSensitivitySpecificityPositive likelihood ratioNegative likelihood ratio
CTG interpretation identified as abnormala by a computer software program

1

(Chung 1995)

Retrospective cohortSerious1No serious inconsistencySerious2Very serious3pH < 7.1573

87.50

(46.7 to 99.3)b

75.40

(62.9 to 84.9)b

3.55

(2.16 to 5.86)b

0.17

(0.03 to 1.05)b

Very low
CTG interpretation of an outcome as abnormalc by a computer software program

1

(Nielsen 1988)

Retrospective cohortSerious1No serious inconsistencySerious2Very serious41-minute Apgar score below 7 or acidosis (umbilical arterial pH < 7.15 or base excess below −10 meq/l), or primary resuscitation needed50

68.8

(41.5 to 87.9)b

94.1

(78.9 to 99.0)b

11.7

(2.9 to 46.7)b

0.33

(0.16 to 0.69)b

Very low

CAS Cardiotocographic Assessment System; CI confidence interval; CTG cardiotocograph; FHR fetal heart rate

a

An abnormal trace was defined by one or more of the following criteria

  • tachycardia (fetal heart rate > 160 bpm) for more than 30 minutes during labour
  • bradycardia (fetal heart rate < 110 bpm) for more than 30 minutes during labour
  • low variation (standard deviation of the fetal heart rate of ≤ 3 bpm) for more than 60 minutes during labour
  • more than five late decelerations (minima of the FHR occurring 20–60 seconds after the maxima of the contraction) during labour
  • more than 10 variable decelerations (minima of the FHR occurring more than 20 seconds prior to, or 60 seconds after, the maxima of the contraction) during labour

b

Calculated by the 2017 NGA technical team

c

A computer system (CA) calculates the probability of the CTG belonging to a compromised infant by calculating a discriminant function, and a CTG is considered pathological if the probability is above 0.5. The computer system’s calculation of the probability of a compromised infant is for each CTG based on the experience from the other 49 CTGs, thus excluding the possibility of “self-recognition”

1

Selection of cases for assessment not well described and it is unclear whether a consecutive or random sampling approach was taken

2

The reference standard used was different to that specified in the guideline review protocol (arterial cord pH <7.05)

3

CI for the negative likelihood ratio crosses two boundaries (from very useful (< 0.1) to not very useful (> 0.5)

4

CI for the positive likelihood ratio crosses two boundaries (from very useful (> 10) to not very useful (< 5))

From: Appendix I, GRADE tables

Cover of Addendum to intrapartum care: care for healthy women and babies
Addendum to intrapartum care: care for healthy women and babies.
Clinical Guideline, No. 190.1.
National Guideline Alliance (UK).
Copyright © National Institute for Health and Care Excellence 2017.

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